Corpus ChristivsSarasota Paradise

Corpus Christi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Corpus Christi hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the USL League One, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.