GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/4/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corpus Christi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Corpus Christi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Corpus Christi hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the USL League One, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corpus Christi

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

13.6%

Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corpus ChristiLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Hearts of PineWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Corpus ChristiPortland Hearts of Pine
38.3Attack50.9
56.7Defence42.1
43.3Form36.8
48.0Power44.5
1.45xG1.20
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