CoritibavsFluminense

Coritiba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fluminense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.