CoritibavsChapecoense-sc

Coritiba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Coritiba hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Serie A, while Coritiba holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.