Coritibavs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Coritiba are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.2 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00