Corinthiansvs
Flamengo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Flamengo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40