Corinthiansvs
Coritiba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Coritiba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
19.7%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40