GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Coritiba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corinthians

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

19.7%

Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CoritibaLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CorinthiansCoritiba
36.4Attack40.6
69.7Defence56.5
48.5Form44.9
53.2Power49.2
1.02xG0.67
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