Corinthiansvs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
19.3%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20