Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cordoba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cordoba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sevilla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevilla hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cordoba holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cordoba
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Cordoba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00