Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almeria · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cordoba are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almeria are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almeria hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Almeria holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Almeria
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
14.1%
Almeria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00