GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while D. La Serena are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and coquimbo Unido hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.7%

Model confidence

12.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoWLDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
D. La SerenaLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena
47.1Attack48.1
58.8Defence42.6
49.0Form37.0
53.3Power43.9
1.79xG1.06
View match centre →