Coquimbo UnidovsA. Italiano

Coquimbo Unido are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while A. Italiano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera División, while Coquimbo Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.