GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Connecticut FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Toronto II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCWLWWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto IILLLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Connecticut FCToronto II
63.5Attack56.1
41.3Defence36.4
50.8Form42.4
52.9Power45.7
2.72xG1.81
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