GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 6/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Connecticut FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Cincinnati II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

74.0%

Model confidence

74.0%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Connecticut FCWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC Cincinnati IILLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCFC Cincinnati II
63.5Attack34.9
41.3Defence28.6
50.8Form22.2
52.9Power30.6
3.19xG1.08
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