Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Confiança · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Confiança are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maringá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.9 against 49.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Serie C, while Confiança holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Confiança
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
13.8%
Confiança has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20