Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Confiança are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gremio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20