Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Confiança are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Amazonas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Amazonas hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20