Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concordia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Concordia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tunari are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Concordia hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Concordia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Concordia
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Concordia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00