Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HEBC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Concordia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while HEBC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HEBC hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (14.6 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while HEBC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HEBC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
HEBC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 20 · avg 1.80/4.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60