GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Concepción are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and concepción hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Concepción with 16.8% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

16.8%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ConcepcionLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion
37.3Attack27.1
54.9Defence43.8
39.2Form39.6
45.5Power39.9
1.36xG0.66
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