GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 7/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Concepción are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while O'Higgins are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.4 against 46.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

14.5%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
O'HigginsLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ConcepciónO'Higgins
37.0Attack40.7
57.4Defence48.1
42.6Form42.6
47.4Power46.6
1.24xG0.95
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