GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcepciónWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Everton de VinaWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ConcepciónEverton de Vina
37.0Attack43.9
57.4Defence59.6
42.6Form42.1
47.4Power49.6
0.96xG1.03
View match centre →