ConcepciónvsD. Puerto Montt

Concepción are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Copa Chile, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.