Concarneauvs
Orleans
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orleans · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Concarneau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orleans are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orleans hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Ligue 3, while Orleans holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orleans
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Orleans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60