GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orleans · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Concarneau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orleans are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orleans hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Ligue 3, while Orleans holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orleans

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Orleans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ConcarneauWWWDL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OrleansWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ConcarneauOrleans
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.03xG1.45
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