Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Como · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Como are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Paris FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Como hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (66.0 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Como holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Como
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Como has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80