GGOALVIO

Peru · Copa De La Liga · 6/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Copa De La Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComerciantesDWDDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CristalLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ComerciantesSporting Cristal
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence75.0
41.7Form66.7
50.3Power66.3
0.95xG1.11
View match centre →