Comerciantesvs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 6/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Copa De La Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40