Comerciantesvs
Santos
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 4/19/2026, 8:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80