GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Binacional are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 17.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.9% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes

Probability

79.9%

Model confidence

79.9%

Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComerciantesDDDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo BinacionalLDDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ComerciantesDeportivo Binacional
41.7Attack22.2
75.0Defence2.8
58.3Form16.7
60.6Power17.2
2.32xG0.32
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