ComerciantesvsAlianza Universidad

Comerciantes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.