GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UTC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UTC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UTC hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while UTC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UTC

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

UTC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UTCLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Comerciantes UnidosUTC
16.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power88.7
1.41xG1.74
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