GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes Unidos

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UCV MoqueguaLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosUCV Moquegua
40.9Attack30.2
56.1Defence55.6
39.4Form33.3
47.8Power41.8
1.19xG0.71
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