Comerciantes Unidosvs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/7/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and cusco hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 14.0% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.3%
Model confidence
14.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00