GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/15/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cultural Santa Rosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cultural Santa Rosa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cultural Santa Rosa hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Primera División, while Cultural Santa Rosa holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cultural Santa Rosa

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Cultural Santa Rosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cultural Santa RosaWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosCultural Santa Rosa
40.9Attack49.2
56.1Defence57.1
39.4Form65.1
47.8Power59.6
1.08xG1.23
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