Comerciantes Unidosvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 7/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60