GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza LimaWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima
40.9Attack60.3
56.1Defence79.4
39.4Form76.2
47.8Power71.9
0.63xG1.56
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