GGOALVIO

Comerciantes Unidos logoComerciantes UnidosvsAlianza Atletico logoAlianza Atletico

COMPLETED

Peru · Primera División · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 48.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosDDDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza AtleticoLLDDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico
40.9Attack41.3
56.1Defence58.7
39.4Form42.9
47.8Power48.9
1.08xG1.00
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