GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionDDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
48.1Attack46.3
48.1Defence38.9
37.0Form29.6
46.3Power40.9
1.94xG1.30
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