Columbus Crewvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Columbus Crew are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New York City FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
12.1%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00