GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus CrewLos Angeles Galaxy
48.1Attack40.0
48.1Defence50.0
37.0Form36.7
46.3Power44.2
1.57xG1.14
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