GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/25/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewLDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC CincinnatiWWWDL

GF 19 · GA 14 · avg 3.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
48.1Attack83.3
48.1Defence18.5
37.0Form48.1
46.3Power50.9
2.50xG2.41
View match centre →