GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewDLLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago FireWLLDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
48.1Attack62.7
48.1Defence54.9
37.0Form56.9
46.3Power58.6
1.35xG1.87
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