GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

11.3%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
48.1Attack35.2
48.1Defence38.9
37.0Form22.2
46.3Power34.7
1.98xG0.97
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