GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colorado Springs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the USL Championship, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado SpringsLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Phoenix RisingLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado SpringsPhoenix Rising
51.9Attack42.1
51.9Defence54.4
46.3Form38.6
51.7Power46.4
1.55xG1.09
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