GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Colorado Springs are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the USL Championship, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado SpringsDLLWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Monterey BayLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado SpringsMonterey Bay
51.9Attack35.0
51.9Defence40.0
46.3Form25.0
51.7Power35.6
2.10xG0.88
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