GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colorado Springs are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.7 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the USL Championship, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado SpringsDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Las Vegas LightsDLWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Colorado SpringsLas Vegas Lights
51.9Attack45.6
51.9Defence52.6
46.3Form45.6
51.7Power50.6
1.58xG1.20
View match centre →