GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the USL Championship, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado SpringsDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Birmingham LegionWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsBirmingham Legion
51.9Attack35.3
51.9Defence58.8
46.3Form33.3
51.7Power45.0
1.41xG0.91
View match centre →