Colorado Rapidsvs
Sporting Kansas City
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Colorado Rapids are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Rapids hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 28.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Colorado Rapids holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
11.3%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40