GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Patronato are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

28.8%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PatronatoDDLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FePatronato
40.3Attack26.1
73.6Defence66.7
54.2Form34.8
57.1Power44.8
0.91xG0.37
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