Colon Santa Fevs
Ferro Carril Oeste
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Colon Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40