GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chaco For EverWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeChaco For Ever
42.7Attack30.4
74.7Defence59.4
56.0Form31.9
58.6Power42.8
1.19xG0.41
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