GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chaco For EverWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeChaco For Ever
40.3Attack30.4
73.6Defence59.4
54.2Form31.9
57.1Power42.8
1.11xG0.43
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