GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Mitre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico MitreWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeAtletico Mitre
42.7Attack33.3
74.7Defence61.3
56.0Form38.7
58.6Power46.1
1.12xG0.45
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